From Mine to Market: Mapping the Critical Minerals Investment Landscape
While the last century was defined by oil, today’s industrial revolutions—clean energy, artificial intelligence, and next-gen defense—run on metals.
Copper, lithium, nickel, and rare earths are more than just commodities. They're strategic enablers. They are also bottlenecks—geopolitically, economically, and technologically. Yet, for all their importance, the investment case isn’t always clear-cut. That’s what Liz Priestman, Adam Johnson and Nicholaus Rohleder breakdown with the London Stock Exchange Webinar, "From Mine to Market: Mapping the Critical Minerals Investment Landscape."
🌟 Copper
Often referred to as the “metal of electrification,” copper is foundational to EVs, renewable energy, AI infrastructure, and advanced defense systems. Yet, despite its ubiquity, copper is facing a growing supply-demand imbalance. Adam and Nicholas highlight copper’s strategic importance, recent designation as a critical mineral in the U.S., and its increasing relevance to national security. They discuss global dependency on regions like Chile, Peru, and China, the implications of declining ore grades, and underinvestment in high-quality new discoveries. The conversation explores copper’s recycling potential, long-term investment opportunities across the value chain, and the underestimated global demand from fast-developing regions upgrading outdated power grids.
🌟 Lithium
Described as the “white gold” of the energy transition, lithium plays a dominant role in energy storage—particularly for EVs and mobile applications. Despite a dramatic drop in spot prices (over 80% from 2022 peaks), Adam and Nicholas emphasize that long-term demand remains intact. They examine lithium’s high energy density, strategic refining control by China, and the growing Western focus on reshoring refining capacity. They also assess the price volatility, opportunities for midstream investment, and the future potential of Direct Lithium Extraction (DLE) technology to improve water use and decentralize production.
🌟 Nickel
Nickel stands at the crossroads of industrial legacy and future-forward tech—used historically in steel and increasingly in batteries. While recent price drops stem from oversupply driven by Indonesia and waning steel demand, the long-term case for battery-grade nickel remains strong. The discussion addresses China’s influence in Indonesia’s nickel market, ESG concerns, and evolving battery chemistries. With a projected rise in demand from aviation and defense electrification, Adam and Nicholas identify refining and recycling in Western-friendly jurisdictions as underinvested yet promising areas for capital deployment.
🌟 Rare Earth Elements
Essential to permanent magnets used in everything from wind turbines to fighter jets, rare earth elements are high in strategic value but remain commercially underdeveloped. Adam and Nicholas explain the complexity of refining 17 distinct minerals, China's dominant role in the market (controlling over 90% of metal and magnet production), and the opaque pricing mechanisms that hinder broader institutional investment. They explore the challenges of building Western-led supply chains, the role of government subsidies, and the importance of scaling mining and processing capabilities to reduce dependence on Chinese infrastructure.